Longwood vs Saint Joseph's

6:00
PM

Longwood☆Lancers

7382

Final, model had 72-77

LineSaint Joseph's −9.5O/U149.5

Saint Joseph's☆Hawks

W

Picked Saint Joseph's

Total 148 proj, 155 actual

Correct. The model had Saint Joseph's; Saint Joseph's won 82-73.

• Saint Joseph's rates 108th of 366 teams, Longwood 183rd: an upper-half team against an upper-half team.
• The two are close on both ends: offense 222nd vs 117th, defense 60th vs 51st.
• Longwood’s numbers came against the 25th-easiest schedule, so they are discounted.
• Home court adds 2.7 points for Saint Joseph's.
• The books have Saint Joseph's by 9.5, right about where the model is. No spread edge.
• Projected total 148, in line with the 149.5 over/under.
• Early-season note: about 95% of these numbers are still last season’s.

Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.