Maryland Eastern Shore vs High Point

6:00
PM

Maryland Eastern Shore☆Hawks

4963

Final, model had 66-82

LineHigh Point −32.5O/U148.5

High Point☆Panthers

Strong pickW 1H W

Picked High Point

Total 148 proj, 112 actual

Correct. The model had High Point; High Point won 63-49.

• High Point rates 86th of 366 teams, Maryland Eastern Shore 327th: an upper-half team against one of the weakest teams in Division I.
• The edge is mostly High Point’s offense (27th nationally) against Maryland Eastern Shore’s defense (212th).
• Maryland Eastern Shore’s numbers came against the 26th-easiest schedule, so they are discounted.
• Home court adds 2.7 points for High Point.
• The books have High Point by 32.5, more than the model’s gap supports, so the spread value is on Maryland Eastern Shore +32.5.
• Projected total 148, in line with the 148.5 over/under.
• Early-season note: about 90% of these numbers are still last season’s.

Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.