North Dakota State vs Saint Mary's

9:00
PM

North Dakota State☆Bison

64105

Final, model had 67-80

LineSaint Mary's −13.5O/U148.5

Saint Mary's☆Gaels

Strong pickW 1H L

Picked Saint Mary's

Total 147 proj, 169 actual

Correct. The model had Saint Mary's; Saint Mary's won 105-64.

• Saint Mary's rates 17th of 366 teams, North Dakota State 163rd: a top-25 team against an upper-half team.
• The edge is mostly Saint Mary's’s offense (13th nationally) against North Dakota State’s defense (89th).
• Home court adds 2.7 points for Saint Mary's.
• The books have Saint Mary's by 13.5; the model likes Saint Mary's by more than that, so the spread value is on Saint Mary's −13.5.
• Projected total 147, in line with the 148.5 over/under.
• Early-season note: about 90% of these numbers are still last season’s.

Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.