Northern Kentucky vs South Dakota

7:00
PM

Northern Kentucky☆Norse

10294

Final, model had 81-79

LineNKU −2.5O/U162.5

South Dakota☆Coyotes

W 1H L

Picked Northern Kentucky

Total 160 proj, 196 actual

Correct. The model had Northern Kentucky; Northern Kentucky won 102-94.

• Northern Kentucky rates 190th of 366 teams, South Dakota 276th: a lower-half team against a lower-half team.
• The edge is mostly Northern Kentucky’s defense (229th nationally) against South Dakota’s offense (130th).
• Northern Kentucky is picked on the road despite South Dakota’s 2.7-point home-court edge.
• The books have Northern Kentucky by 2.5, right about where the model is. No spread edge.
• Projected total 160, in line with the 162.5 over/under.
• Early-season note: about 90% of these numbers are still last season’s.

Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.