Cal Poly vs Arizona

9:30
PM

Cal Poly☆Mustangs

6992

LineArizona −30.5O/U173.5Under

Arizona☆Wildcats

Strong pickArizona

Total 160.7 1H Cal Poly by 6.0

• Arizona rates 4th of 366 teams, Cal Poly 231st: a top-25 team against a lower-half team.
• The edge is mostly Arizona’s offense (5th nationally) against Cal Poly’s defense (245th).
• Arizona has played the 6th-toughest schedule, so its numbers are earned.
• Home court adds 2.7 points for Arizona.
• The books have Arizona by 30.5, right about where the model is. No spread edge.
• Projected total 161 vs an over/under of 173.5: a 13-point gap, the Under is the play.
• Early-season note: about 95% of these numbers are still last season’s.

Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.