Central Connecticut vs Syracuse

6:00
PM

Central Connecticut☆Blue Devils

6779

LineSyracuse −24.5O/U136.5

Syracuse☆Orange

Strong pickSyracuse

Total 146.0 1H Syracuse by 23.0

• Syracuse rates 103rd of 366 teams, Central Connecticut 297th: an upper-half team against one of the weakest teams in Division I.
• The two are close on both ends: offense 257th vs 131st, defense 226th vs 234th.
• Central Connecticut’s numbers came against the 6th-easiest schedule, so they are discounted.
• Home court adds 2.7 points for Syracuse.
• The books have Syracuse by 23.5, more than the model’s gap supports, so the spread value is on Central Connecticut +23.5.
• Projected total 146 vs an over/under of 135.5: a 10-point gap, the Over is the play.
• Early-season note: about 95% of these numbers are still last season’s.

Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.