Delaware State vs Navy

6:00
PM

Delaware State☆Hornets

6174

LineNavy −7.5O/U138.5

Navy☆Midshipmen

Strong pickNavy

Total 135.2 1H Delaware State by 22.0

• Navy rates 215th of 366 teams, Delaware State 357th: a lower-half team against one of the weakest teams in Division I.
• The edge is mostly Navy’s offense (119th nationally) against Delaware State’s defense (153rd).
• Navy’s numbers came against the 7th-easiest schedule, so they are discounted.
• Delaware State’s numbers came against the 3rd-easiest schedule, so they are discounted.
• Home court adds 2.7 points for Navy.
• The books have Navy by 9.5; the model likes Navy by more than that, so the spread value is on Navy −9.5.
• Projected total 135, in line with the 136.5 over/under.
• Early-season note: about 95% of these numbers are still last season’s.

Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.