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Gardner-Webb vs Texas

Thursday, November 5, 2026, 7:00 PM Central. Model prediction, projected score and the reasons.

7:00
PM

Gardner-WebbRunnin' Bulldogs

6492

LineTexas −41.5O/U156.5

TexasLonghorns

Strong pickTexas

Total 155.9 1H Texas by 32.0

Why the model likes Texas

Texas rates 20th of 366 teams, Gardner-Webb 363rd: a top-25 team against one of the weakest teams in Division I.
The edge is mostly Texas’s offense (8th nationally) against Gardner-Webb’s defense (364th).
Texas has played the 29th-toughest schedule, so its numbers are earned.
Home court adds 2.7 points for Texas.
The books have Texas by 41.5, right about where the model is. No spread edge.
Projected total 156, in line with the 154.5 over/under.
Early-season note: about 95% of these numbers are still last season’s.

Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.