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Georgia State vs Charlotte

Thursday, November 5, 2026, 6:00 PM Central. Model prediction, projected score and the reasons.

6:00
PM

Georgia StatePanthers

7077

LineCharlotte −11.5O/U146.5

Charlotte49ers

Charlotte

Total 146.5 1H Georgia State by 7.0

Why the model likes Charlotte

Charlotte rates 205th of 366 teams, Georgia State 306th: a lower-half team against one of the weakest teams in Division I.
The edge is mostly Charlotte’s offense (134th nationally) against Georgia State’s defense (189th).
Home court adds 2.7 points for Charlotte.
The books have Charlotte by 11.5, right about where the model is. No spread edge.
Projected total 146, in line with the 143.5 over/under.
Early-season note: about 95% of these numbers are still last season’s.

Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.