Green Bay vs Cincinnati

6:00
PM

Green Bay☆Phoenix

6877

LineCincinnati −24.5O/U153.5

Cincinnati☆Bearcats

Cincinnati

Total 144.8 1H Green Bay by 10.0

• Cincinnati rates 52nd of 366 teams, Green Bay 179th: a top-75 team against an upper-half team.
• The edge is mostly Cincinnati’s defense (14th nationally) against Green Bay’s offense (85th).
• Home court adds 2.7 points for Cincinnati.
• The books have Cincinnati by 23.5, more than the model’s gap supports, so the spread value is on Green Bay +23.5.
• Projected total 145 vs 152.5: leans Under.
• Early-season note: about 95% of these numbers are still last season’s.

Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.