Howard vs Alcorn State

6:00
PM

Howard☆Bison

7869

LineHoward −8.5O/U149.5

Alcorn State☆Braves

Howard

Total 146.9 1H Alcorn State by 3.0

• Howard rates 222nd of 366 teams, Alcorn State 365th: a lower-half team against one of the weakest teams in Division I.
• The edge is mostly Howard’s defense (67th nationally) against Alcorn State’s offense (356th).
• Howard’s numbers came against the 8th-easiest schedule, so they are discounted.
• Howard is picked on the road despite Alcorn State’s 2.7-point home-court edge.
• The books have Howard by 9.5; the model likes Howard by more than that, so the spread value is on Howard −9.5.
• Projected total 147, in line with the 149.5 over/under.
• Early-season note: about 95% of these numbers are still last season’s.

Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.