Mercyhurst vs Notre Dame

6:00
PM

Mercyhurst☆Lakers

6677

LineNotre Dame −20.5O/U141.5

Notre Dame☆Fighting Irish

Strong pickNotre Dame

Total 142.8 1H Notre Dame by 17.0

• Notre Dame rates 99th of 366 teams, Mercyhurst 291st: an upper-half team against a lower-half team.
• The two are close on both ends: offense 244th vs 252nd, defense 209th vs 115th.
• Mercyhurst’s numbers came against the 9th-easiest schedule, so they are discounted.
• Home court adds 2.7 points for Notre Dame.
• The books have Notre Dame by 21.5, more than the model’s gap supports, so the spread value is on Mercyhurst +21.5.
• Projected total 143 vs 137.5: leans Over.
• Early-season note: about 95% of these numbers are still last season’s.

Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.