Northwestern State vs Mississippi State

6:30
PM

Northwestern State☆Demons

7081

LineMSST −21.5O/U153.5

Mississippi State☆Bulldogs

Mississippi State

Total 151.2 1H Mississippi State by 21.0

• Mississippi State rates 129th of 366 teams, Northwestern State 295th: an upper-half team against one of the weakest teams in Division I.
• The edge is mostly Mississippi State’s offense (245th nationally) against Northwestern State’s defense (266th).
• Mississippi State has played the 33rd-toughest schedule, so its numbers are earned.
• Home court adds 2.7 points for Mississippi State.
• The books have Mississippi State by 21.5, more than the model’s gap supports, so the spread value is on Northwestern State +21.5.
• Projected total 151, in line with the 151.5 over/under.
• Early-season note: about 95% of these numbers are still last season’s.

Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.