UMass Lowell vs Merrimack

6:00
PM

UMass Lowell☆River Hawks

7172

LineMerrimack −7.5O/U140.5

Merrimack☆Warriors

Merrimack

Total 143.2 1H UMass Lowell by 39.0

• Merrimack rates 314th of 366 teams, UMass Lowell 271st: one of the weakest teams in Division I against a lower-half team.
• The two are close on both ends: offense 309th vs 125th, defense 267th vs 250th.
• UMass Lowell’s numbers came against the 29th-easiest schedule, so they are discounted.
• Home court adds 2.7 points for Merrimack.
• The books have Merrimack by 9.5, more than the model’s gap supports, so the spread value is on UMass Lowell +9.5.
• Projected total 143, in line with the 140.5 over/under.
• Early-season note: about 95% of these numbers are still last season’s.

Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.