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VMI vs SMU

Thursday, November 5, 2026, 7:00 PM Central. Model prediction, projected score and the reasons.

7:00
PM

VMIKeydets

6890

LineSMU −24.5O/U159.5

SMUMustangs

Strong pickSMU

Total 158.0 1H VMI by 20.0

Why the model likes SMU

SMU rates 29th of 366 teams, VMI 346th: a top-75 team against one of the weakest teams in Division I.
The edge is mostly SMU’s offense (18th nationally) against VMI’s defense (334th).
Home court adds 2.7 points for SMU.
The books have SMU by 24.5; the model likes SMU by more than that, so the spread value is on SMU −24.5.
Projected total 158, in line with the 160.5 over/under.
Early-season note: about 95% of these numbers are still last season’s.

Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.