Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs Baylor

4:00
PM

Arkansas-Pine Bluff☆Golden Lions

7089

LineBaylor −36.5O/U158.5

Baylor☆Bears

Strong pickBaylor

Total 158.3 1H Baylor by 22.0

• Baylor rates 39th of 366 teams, Arkansas-Pine Bluff 321st: a top-75 team against one of the weakest teams in Division I.
• The edge is mostly Baylor’s offense (29th nationally) against Arkansas-Pine Bluff’s defense (338th).
• Baylor has played the 25th-toughest schedule, so its numbers are earned.
• Home court adds 2.7 points for Baylor.
• The books have Baylor by 36.5, more than the model’s gap supports, so the spread value is on Arkansas-Pine Bluff +36.5.
• Projected total 158, in line with the 158.5 over/under.
• Early-season note: about 95% of these numbers are still last season’s.

Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.