California Baptist vs Oregon State

8:30
PM

California Baptist☆Lancers

7271

LineOregon State −18.5O/U155.5Under

Oregon State☆Beavers

Upset pickCalifornia Baptist

Total 143.0 1H Oregon State by 12.0

• California Baptist rates 136th of 366 teams, Oregon State 203rd: an upper-half team against a lower-half team.
• The edge is mostly California Baptist’s defense (56th nationally) against Oregon State’s offense (286th).
• California Baptist is picked on the road despite Oregon State’s 2.7-point home-court edge.
• The books favor Oregon State by 18.5. The model disagrees and takes California Baptist outright, which also means California Baptist +18.5 on the spread.
• Projected total 143 vs an over/under of 155.5: a 12-point gap, the Under is the play.
• Early-season note: about 95% of these numbers are still last season’s.

Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.