East Tennessee State vs NC State

6:00
PM

East Tennessee State☆Buccaneers

7182

LineNC State −16.5O/U152.5

NC State☆Wolfpack

Strong pickNC State

Total 152.7 1H NC State by 10.0

• NC State rates 38th of 366 teams, East Tennessee State 155th: a top-75 team against an upper-half team.
• The two are close on both ends: offense 70th vs 57th, defense 144th vs 77th.
• NC State has played the 36th-toughest schedule, so its numbers are earned.
• East Tennessee State’s numbers came against the 40th-easiest schedule, so they are discounted.
• Home court adds 2.7 points for NC State.
• The books have NC State by 16.5, right about where the model is. No spread edge.
• Projected total 153, in line with the 152.5 over/under.
• Early-season note: about 95% of these numbers are still last season’s.

Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.