Indiana State vs Ball State

6:00
PM

Indiana State☆Sycamores

7270

LineBall State −2.5O/U147.5

Ball State☆Cardinals

Upset pickIndiana State

Total 142.1 1H Indiana State by 8.0

• Indiana State rates 234th of 366 teams, Ball State 313th: a lower-half team against one of the weakest teams in Division I.
• The edge is mostly Indiana State’s offense (300th nationally) against Ball State’s defense (176th).
• Indiana State is picked on the road despite Ball State’s 2.7-point home-court edge.
• The books favor Ball State by 2.5. The model disagrees and takes Indiana State outright, which also means Indiana State +2.5 on the spread.
• Projected total 142 vs 147.5: leans Under.
• Early-season note: about 95% of these numbers are still last season’s.

Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.