Friday, November 6, 2026, 6:00 PM Central. Model prediction, projected score and the reasons.
6:00 PM
Loyola MarylandGreyhounds
00
LIVE
6976
LineMSM −5.5O/U150.5
Mount St. Mary'sMountaineers
Mount St. Mary's
Total 145.1 1H Loyola Maryland by 4.0
Why the model likes Mount St. Mary's
Mount St. Mary's rates 307th of 366 teams, Loyola Maryland 352nd: one of the weakest teams in Division I against one of the weakest teams in Division I.
The edge is mostly Mount St. Mary's’s defense (96th nationally) against Loyola Maryland’s offense (314th).
Loyola Maryland’s numbers came against the 18th-easiest schedule, so they are discounted.
Home court adds 2.7 points for Mount St. Mary's.
The books have Mount St. Mary's by 5.5, right about where the model is. No spread edge.
Projected total 145 vs 150.5: leans Under.
Early-season note: about 95% of these numbers are still last season’s.
Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.