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Middle Tennessee vs Kansas

Friday, November 6, 2026, 8:00 PM Central. Model prediction, projected score and the reasons.

8:00
PM

Middle TennesseeBlue Raiders

6681

LineKansas −29.5O/U153.5

KansasJayhawks

Strong pickKansas

Total 147.6 1H Middle Tennessee by 9.0

Why the model likes Kansas

Kansas rates 13th of 366 teams, Middle Tennessee 159th: a top-25 team against an upper-half team.
The edge is mostly Kansas’s defense (27th nationally) against Middle Tennessee’s offense (185th).
Kansas has played the 3rd-toughest schedule, so its numbers are earned.
Home court adds 2.7 points for Kansas.
The books have Kansas by 29.5, more than the model’s gap supports, so the spread value is on Middle Tennessee +29.5.
Projected total 148 vs 153.5: leans Under.
Early-season note: about 95% of these numbers are still last season’s.

Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.