Mississippi Valley State vs Oklahoma

7:00
PM

Mississippi Valley State☆Delta Devils

6489

LineOklahoma −38.5O/U148.5

Oklahoma☆Sooners

Strong pickOklahoma

Total 153.1

• Oklahoma rates 65th of 366 teams, Mississippi Valley State 366th: a top-75 team against one of the weakest teams in Division I.
• The edge is mostly Oklahoma’s offense (51st nationally) against Mississippi Valley State’s defense (356th).
• Mississippi Valley State’s numbers came against the 24th-easiest schedule, so they are discounted.
• Home court adds 2.7 points for Oklahoma.
• The books have Oklahoma by 38.5, more than the model’s gap supports, so the spread value is on Mississippi Valley State +38.5.
• Projected total 153 vs 148.5: leans Over.
• Early-season note: these numbers are still entirely last season’s; this season’s games take over as they are played.

Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.