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Missouri vs Saint Louis

Friday, November 6, 2026, 6:00 PM Central · neutral site. Model prediction, projected score and the reasons.

6:00
PMNeutral

MissouriTigers

7780

LineMissouri −2.5O/U161.5

Saint LouisBillikens

Upset pickSaint Louis

Total 156.4 1H Missouri by 8.0

Why the model likes Saint Louis

Saint Louis rates 26th of 366 teams, Missouri 46th: a top-75 team against a top-75 team.
The edge is mostly Saint Louis’s defense (9th nationally) against Missouri’s offense (41st).
Neutral site: no home-court edge either way.
The books favor Missouri by 2.5. The model disagrees and takes Saint Louis outright, which also means Saint Louis +2.5 on the spread.
Projected total 156 vs 161.5: leans Under.
Early-season note: about 95% of these numbers are still last season’s.

Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.