Northern Colorado vs Arizona State

8:00
PM

Northern Colorado☆Bears

7681

LineArizona State −18.5O/U145.5Over

Arizona State☆Sun Devils

Arizona State

Total 157.0 1H Northern Colorado by 15.0

• Arizona State rates 89th of 366 teams, Northern Colorado 131st: an upper-half team against an upper-half team.
• The two are close on both ends: offense 179th vs 34th, defense 321st vs 166th.
• Arizona State has played the 11th-toughest schedule, so its numbers are earned.
• Home court adds 2.7 points for Arizona State.
• The books have Arizona State by 18.5, more than the model’s gap supports, so the spread value is on Northern Colorado +18.5.
• Projected total 157 vs an over/under of 145.5: a 12-point gap, the Over is the play.
• Early-season note: about 95% of these numbers are still last season’s.

Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.