Friday, November 6, 2026, 5:30 PM Central. Model prediction, projected score and the reasons.
5:30 PM
South Carolina StateBulldogs
00
LIVE
6978
LineUPST −7.5O/U148.5
South Carolina UpstateSpartans
South Carolina Upstate
Total 147.1 1H South Carolina State by 17.0
Why the model likes South Carolina Upstate
South Carolina Upstate rates 272nd of 366 teams, South Carolina State 358th: a lower-half team against one of the weakest teams in Division I.
The edge is mostly South Carolina Upstate’s defense (133rd nationally) against South Carolina State’s offense (345th).
South Carolina State’s numbers came against the 29th-easiest schedule, so they are discounted.
Home court adds 2.7 points for South Carolina Upstate.
The books have South Carolina Upstate by 7.5; the model likes South Carolina Upstate by more than that, so the spread value is on South Carolina Upstate −7.5.
Projected total 147, in line with the 148.5 over/under.
Early-season note: about 95% of these numbers are still last season’s.
Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.