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Stony BrookSeawolves
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6777
LineNorthwestern −13.5O/U144.5
NorthwesternWildcats
Strong pickNorthwestern
Why the model likes Northwestern
- Northwestern rates 62nd of 366 teams, Stony Brook 222nd: a top-75 team against a lower-half team.
- The edge is mostly Northwestern’s offense (84th nationally) against Stony Brook’s defense (79th).
- Northwestern has played the 23rd-toughest schedule, so its numbers are earned.
- Home court adds 2.7 points for Northwestern.
- The books have Northwestern by 13.5, right about where the model is. No spread edge.
- Projected total 144, in line with the 144.5 over/under.
- Early-season note: about 95% of these numbers are still last season’s.
Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.