Valparaiso vs Purdue

5:30
PM

Valparaiso☆Beacons

6583

LinePurdue −19.5O/U146.5

Purdue☆Boilermakers

Strong pickPurdue

Total 147.6 1H Valparaiso by 5.0

• Purdue rates 10th of 366 teams, Valparaiso 188th: a top-25 team against a lower-half team.
• The edge is mostly Purdue’s offense (3rd nationally) against Valparaiso’s defense (143rd).
• Purdue has played the 4th-toughest schedule, so its numbers are earned.
• Home court adds 2.7 points for Purdue.
• The books have Purdue by 19.5, right about where the model is. No spread edge.
• Projected total 148, in line with the 146.5 over/under.
• Early-season note: about 95% of these numbers are still last season’s.

Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.